Tropical Cyclone Activity
Atlantic Tropical Outlook
Pacific Tropical Outlook
Atlantic/Gulf of Mexico/Caribbean
Atlantic Tropical Weather Outlook
000
ABNT20 KNHC 051710
TWOAT
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
200 PM EDT Fri Jun 5 2026
For the North Atlantic...Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America:
Tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days.
$$
Forecaster Roberts
There are no tropical cyclones at this time.
No tropical cyclones as of Fri, 05 Jun 2026 17:40:22 GMT
Eastern Pacific
Eastern North Pacific Tropical Weather Outlook
000
ABPZ20 KNHC 051736
TWOEP
Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL
1100 AM PDT Fri Jun 5 2026
For the eastern and central North Pacific east of 180 longitude:
Active Systems:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical
Storm Amanda, located well west-southwest of the southern tip of
the Baja California Peninsula.
Offshore Southern and Southwestern Mexico (EP91):
A broad area of low pressure located a few hundred miles southwest
of Zihuatanejo, Mexico is producing a large area of showers and
thunderstorms. Environmental conditions appear conducive for
development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to
form late this weekend or early next week. The disturbance is
forecast to move northeastward then northward near the coast of
southern Mexico. Interests in southern Mexico should monitor the
progress of this system. Regardless of development, locally heavy
rainfall is possible across portions of southern Mexico through
early next week.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...high...70 percent.
Offshore of Central America:
A trough of low pressure offshore of Central America is producing
disorganized shower and thunderstorm activity. Environmental
conditions appear conducive for gradual development of this system,
and a tropical depression could form later this weekend or early
next week if the system remains offshore. The low is forecast to
move slowly northward toward the coast of Central America.
Regardless of development, locally heavy rainfall is possible across
portions of Nicaragua, El Salvador, and Guatemala.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...30 percent.
* Formation chance through 7 days...medium...60 percent.
$$
Forecaster Adams/Brown
Summary for Tropical Storm Amanda (EP1/EP012026)
...AMANDA FORECAST TO TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST AND SLOW DOWN... As of 5:00 AM HST Fri Jun 05 the center of Amanda was located near 13.3, -133.7 with movement W at 10 mph. The minimum central pressure was 1004 mb with maximum sustained winds of about 45 mph.
Tropical Storm Amanda Public Advisory Number 12
Issued at 500 AM HST Fri Jun 05 2026 000 WTPZ31 KNHC 051442 TCPEP1 BULLETIN Tropical Storm Amanda Advisory Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026 500 AM HST Fri Jun 05 2026 ...AMANDA FORECAST TO TURN TO THE SOUTHWEST AND SLOW DOWN... SUMMARY OF 500 AM HST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION ---------------------------------------------- LOCATION...13.3N 133.7W ABOUT 1695 MI...2725 KM WSW OF THE SOUTHERN TIP OF BAJA CALIFORNIA MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...45 MPH...75 KM/H PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 270 DEGREES AT 10 MPH...17 KM/H MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB...29.65 INCHES WATCHES AND WARNINGS -------------------- There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect. DISCUSSION AND OUTLOOK ---------------------- At 500 AM HST (1500 UTC), the center of Tropical Storm Amanda was located near latitude 13.3 North, longitude 133.7 West. Amanda is moving toward the west near 10 mph (17 km/h). A slower forward speed and turn toward the west-southwest is expected today, followed by a southwestward motion by Saturday. Maximum sustained winds are near 45 mph (75 km/h) with higher gusts. Gradual weakening is expected today through this weekend. Amanda is forecast to degenerate into a remnant low on Sunday. Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 45 miles (75 km) from the center. The estimated minimum central pressure is 1004 mb (29.65 inches). HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND ---------------------- None. NEXT ADVISORY ------------- Next complete advisory at 1100 AM HST. $$ Forecaster Adams/Brown
Tropical Storm Amanda Forecast Advisory Number 12
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 05 2026 000 WTPZ21 KNHC 051441 TCMEP1 TROPICAL STORM AMANDA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 12 NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026 1500 UTC FRI JUN 05 2026 TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 133.7W AT 05/1500Z POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT 9 KT ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH GUSTS TO 50 KT. 34 KT....... 30NE 20SE 30SW 40NW. 4 M SEAS.... 45NE 0SE 30SW 45NW. WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT. REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 133.7W AT 05/1500Z AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.3N 133.4W FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 13.1N 134.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 20SE 20SW 30NW. FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 12.8N 134.9W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 20NE 10SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 12.3N 135.3W MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT. 34 KT... 10NE 0SE 20SW 20NW. FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 11.8N 135.8W MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 11.4N 136.4W...POST-TROPICAL MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. FORECAST VALID 08/1200Z 11.1N 137.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT. EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM ON DAY 4 AND 125 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 10.8N 139.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 25 KT...GUSTS 35 KT. OUTLOOK VALID 10/1200Z 10.6N 140.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW MAX WIND 20 KT...GUSTS 30 KT. REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.3N 133.7W NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z $$ FORECASTER ADAMS/BROWN
Tropical Storm Amanda Forecast Discussion Number 12
Issued at 500 AM HST Fri Jun 05 2026 000 WTPZ41 KNHC 051446 TCDEP1 Tropical Storm Amanda Discussion Number 12 NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL EP012026 500 AM HST Fri Jun 05 2026 An AMSR2 satellite pass from earlier this morning showed a well-defined center, but persistent southeasterly shear continues to impact Amanda as the center remains on the eastern edge of the convection. Objective and subjective Dvorak intensity estimates range from 35-44 kt and earlier ASCAT data depicted peak winds of 38-42 kt, so the initial intensity is maintained at 40 kt. Convection associated with Amanda has weakened over the past several hours. Diurnal pulses of convection are expected over the next couple of days, which should allow Amanda to maintain tropical cyclone status. However, the storm will encounter drier mid-level air and increasing upper-level convergence over the next 36-48 h. Therefore, slow weakening is expected due to the increasingly hostile environmental conditions, and Amanda is forecast to become a post-tropical remnant low by late Sunday. The storm is moving toward the west at around 9 kt. A mid- to upper-level ridge northeast of Amanda will support a westward motion today, before the storm turns to the southwest on Saturday as ridging builds to the northwest. The official NHC forecast has been adjusted slightly southward from the previous advisory during the first day or so, and lies between the Google DeepMind and various consensus aids. The remnant low is likely to turn back toward the west by days 3-5 while being steered by the low-level trade winds. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 05/1500Z 13.3N 133.7W 40 KT 45 MPH 12H 06/0000Z 13.1N 134.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 06/1200Z 12.8N 134.9W 35 KT 40 MPH 36H 07/0000Z 12.3N 135.3W 35 KT 40 MPH 48H 07/1200Z 11.8N 135.8W 30 KT 35 MPH 60H 08/0000Z 11.4N 136.4W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROPICAL 72H 08/1200Z 11.1N 137.2W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 96H 09/1200Z 10.8N 139.3W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW 120H 10/1200Z 10.6N 140.6W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW $$ Forecaster Adams/Brown
Tropical Storm Amanda Wind Speed Probabilities Number 12
Issued at 1500 UTC FRI JUN 05 2026 000
FOPZ11 KNHC 051442
PWSEP1
TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP012026
1500 UTC FRI JUN 05 2026
AT 1500Z THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM AMANDA WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 13.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 133.7 WEST WITH MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS NEAR 40 KTS...45 MPH...75 KM/H.
Z INDICATES COORDINATED UNIVERSAL TIME (GREENWICH)
PACIFIC DAYLIGHT TIME (PDT)...SUBTRACT 7 HOURS FROM Z TIME
HAWAIIAN STANDARD TIME (HST)...SUBTRACT 10 HOURS FROM Z TIME
WIND SPEED PROBABILITY TABLE FOR SPECIFIC LOCATIONS
CHANCES OF SUSTAINED (1-MINUTE AVERAGE) WIND SPEEDS OF AT LEAST
...34 KT (39 MPH... 63 KM/H)...
...50 KT (58 MPH... 93 KM/H)...
...64 KT (74 MPH...119 KM/H)...
FOR LOCATIONS AND TIME PERIODS DURING THE NEXT 5 DAYS
PROBABILITIES FOR LOCATIONS ARE GIVEN AS OP(CP) WHERE
OP IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT BEGINNING DURING
AN INDIVIDUAL TIME PERIOD (ONSET PROBABILITY)
(CP) IS THE PROBABILITY OF THE EVENT OCCURRING BETWEEN
12Z FRI AND THE FORECAST HOUR (CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY)
PROBABILITIES ARE GIVEN IN PERCENT
X INDICATES PROBABILITIES LESS THAN 1 PERCENT
PROBABILITIES FOR 34 KT AND 50 KT ARE SHOWN AT A GIVEN LOCATION WHEN
THE 5-DAY CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 3 PERCENT.
PROBABILITIES FOR 34...50...64 KT SHOWN WHEN THE 5-DAY
64-KT CUMULATIVE PROBABILITY IS AT LEAST 1 PERCENT.
- - - - WIND SPEED PROBABILITIES FOR SELECTED LOCATIONS - - - -
FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM FROM
TIME 12Z FRI 00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE
PERIODS TO TO TO TO TO TO TO
00Z SAT 12Z SAT 00Z SUN 12Z SUN 12Z MON 12Z TUE 12Z WED
FORECAST HOUR (12) (24) (36) (48) (72) (96) (120)
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
LOCATION KT
10N 135W 34 X X( X) 1( 1) 1( 2) 2( 4) X( 4) X( 4)
10N 140W 34 X X( X) X( X) X( X) 1( 1) 3( 4) 1( 5)
$$
FORECASTER ADAMS/BROWN
Tropical Storm Amanda Graphics
Wind Speed Probabilities last updated Fri, 05 Jun 2026 15:21:55 GMT